Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-01 68.788858 77.649450 86.733758 96.711461 107.331063 118.266578 130.348976
2025-06-08 54.116698 66.665018 80.147496 95.577436 112.620768 130.755096 151.395468
2025-06-15 46.719908 61.424925 77.769082 97.008782 118.782647 142.431914 169.838772
2025-06-22 41.210699 57.474841 76.101601 98.559227 124.486308 153.112178 186.754699
2025-06-29 35.520737 52.629533 72.820446 97.732279 127.034009 159.873904 198.956013
2025-07-06 30.063025 47.494088 68.713796 95.503903 127.588511 164.059937 207.971766
2025-07-13 28.137088 46.586185 69.549489 99.006322 134.717517 175.694292 225.407019
2025-07-20 25.843010 44.961447 69.311992 101.054324 140.003258 185.105849 240.225924
2025-07-27 22.803829 42.053628 67.229873 100.643450 142.188092 190.773172 250.613833
2025-08-03 19.969214 39.164185 64.964974 99.828416 143.739687 195.582479 259.910930
2025-08-10 17.975630 37.294449 63.904091 100.425202 146.932338 202.278284 271.376799
2025-08-17 15.797205 34.941464 62.036858 99.855585 148.578525 207.045055 280.504757
2025-08-24 14.089500 33.178977 60.906944 100.216874 151.399415 213.276896 291.462340
2025-08-31 12.123089 30.798605 58.767971 99.133229 152.316470 217.144824 299.566794
2025-09-07 11.068417 29.820647 58.560652 100.583313 156.424527 224.892869 312.322777
2025-09-14 10.147684 28.976631 58.485954 102.168823 160.678689 232.807520 325.279616
2025-09-21 8.724712 27.063149 56.707015 101.323926 161.716449 236.694749 333.319692
2025-09-28 7.147648 24.631718 53.987676 99.047779 160.787684 238.061338 338.230994
2025-10-05 6.938105 24.876577 55.417153 102.625150 167.585398 249.118782 355.025120
2025-10-12 6.449534 24.490143 55.817090 104.716475 172.403467 257.688581 368.776525
2025-10-19 5.541250 23.084891 54.508011 104.296939 173.833388 261.957431 377.218816
2025-10-26 4.662617 21.590975 52.961826 103.464679 174.659274 265.426231 384.649359
2025-11-02 4.099924 20.737432 52.424846 104.074083 177.408286 271.329669 395.092654